A Longitudinal Study of Blogging Traffic

8 comments

1. I find myself thinking along the same lines. Sometimes I go for the cheap score and write something that I know will be popular. The other stuff is still useful. My thought is that if it is “out there on the internet” someone might find it useful someday (probably after I die).

   Nonetheless, good article.

2. Compare physics and chemistry crackpots. What can ignorance (educable) or stupidity (permanent) spew about the Sonogashira coupling or NMR? Nothing! Physics is the weaker discipline by public declamation.

   Chemistry need only make Spandex, scrubbing bubbles, and Cialis but physics must be rendered cute to be attractive. Pimp your tensors! Won’t you all look a right proper Charlie if the vacuum diastereotopically interacts with enantiomorphic mass distributions? Chemists do it all the time, especially illegal pharm-workers.

   (“What is purple and commutes? An Abelian grape.” No contest.)

3. You will and Scienceblogs will eventually lose readers if there were no science in the blogs. Or rather minimal science. The noise ratio is getting pretty high now with all the election stuff. Hopefully a few month phenomenon.

4. You will and Scienceblogs will eventually lose readers if there were no science in the blogs. Or rather minimal science.

   I doubt it.
   Or, rather, we’ll lose some readers, and some types of readers, but gain a different sort. All that will happen is that the character of the audience will change.

   I’ve seen several blogs shift from posting mostly science content to mostly political ranting, and from what I can tell, their traffic has only increased.

   The noise ratio is getting pretty high now with all the election stuff. Hopefully a few month phenomenon.

   There’s a new group blog specifically about the election starting up soon, which may help to localize the political content a bit.

   I’ll probably have a few more politics posts than usual in the next few weeks, but I have no plans to shift to a politics-heavy format for the simple reason that when I spend a lot of time writing about politics, I start to turn into a tedious asshole, and I don’t like that.

   Of course, I’m probably going to bore the pants off of my usual audience with a whole bunch of “Web 2.0” stuff as I write up stuff from the conference last week, instead…

5. There is (at least) one obvious anomaly in the chart: The number of page views in a given period should be positive semidefinite, but your “Score One for Physics” post seems to have had -3 page views for the period 16 March-12 September.

   Here’s a WAG for why some posts get more page views: If there is an active discussion thread attached to a post, I’m much more likely to return to that post, especially if I have commented on that post myself (in part because one of the subsequent commenters may have responded to a point I raised). Caveat: I haven’t taken the time to figure out how to do RSS (which is probably just as well as I would end up spending way too much time on blogs). I don’t know what fraction of your audience reads blogs the way I do.

6. There is (at least) one obvious anomaly in the chart: The number of page views in a given period should be positive semidefinite, but your “Score One for Physics” post seems to have had -3 page views for the period 16 March-12 September

   Yeah, I forgot to mention that. Google Analytics occasionally does some weird things.

   I trust the numbers to give the right general trend, but when you’re talking about small number of hits, I think it’s pretty worthless.

   I haven’t taken the time to figure out how to do RSS (which is probably just as well as I would end up spending way too much time on blogs). I don’t know what fraction of your audience reads blogs the way I do.

   I have a bit more than 1,800 subscribers to the feed for this blog, and occasional posts end up in other feeds supplied by SB. I get about 2,000 page views on a fairly typical day, which I don’t think includes the RSS readers, unless they click through to see a full post.

7. Cool. I think you’re right about it all being about the character of the audience. It’s a shame there’s not an easy way of filtering out non-readers: people who arrive from Google Images, stay on the site for a second and then leave, for example.

8. I think we shouldn’t pay attention so much to hits. It’s an imprecise and irrelevant measure. As Euan said above, a large part of the people who visit come by accident, are not interested and are not actually readers anyway. The chance that one of them becomes a returning visitor is negligible. Did you ever add a blog to your feed that came up in a keyword search but you saw at first sight it didn’t answer your question? To give you an example: my visitor count increased dramatically after I moved to Waterloo. Why? Because the site where I wrote about the way my furniture took became the first hit on Google images for “map of America” (despite the fact that it didn’t even have a map of America). And who cares about that?

   Do you recall that in my opening talk (sorry, not-an-opening talk), I brought up the question: What feedback improves quality? Well, that’s the problem here, you’re worried about a feedback that would lead you to optimize performance according to a measure that’s irrelevant for the scientific content. Increasing the numbers of visitors doesn’t improve neither quality of writing nor accuracy. I’ve been offered to join scienceblogs a while ago, so I know you get money by hits. But what kind of incentives does that set? Shouldn’t Seed be more interested in high quality than in many hits? Who makes such decisions and what was the thought behind that? (Yeah, I know where the problem comes from, I only have to look at the ads in your sidebar.) Bottomline is, your blog is great, stop counting visits.

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