{"id":5467,"date":"2011-03-18T10:05:53","date_gmt":"2011-03-18T10:05:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/principles\/2011\/03\/18\/know-when-to-do-nothing\/"},"modified":"2011-03-18T10:05:53","modified_gmt":"2011-03-18T10:05:53","slug":"know-when-to-do-nothing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/2011\/03\/18\/know-when-to-do-nothing\/","title":{"rendered":"Know When to Do Nothing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There was a lot of great basketball yesterday, but I want to talk quickly about one small thing at the end of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/03\/18\/sports\/ncaabasketball\/18kentucky.html?_r=1&#038;partner=rss&#038;emc=rss\">Kentucky-Princeton game<\/a>, that I think is kind of the basketball equivalent of the oft-debated punt on fourth-and-short in the opponents&#8217; end in football. That is, it&#8217;s the wrong play, but also the play that is dictated by conventional wisdom, so even people who ought to know better slip up.<\/p>\n<p>The situation was this: Princeton scored to tie the game with 37 second left. Kentucky couldn&#8217;t quite hold for the last shot, so the Tigers were guaranteed a last possession with 2 seconds to play. Kentucky ran the ball all the way down, then their point guard, Brandon Knight, made a spectacular scoop shot from the left baseline. The ball dropped through the net with almost exactly two seconds left. A Princeton player grabbed it, and threw it inbounds almost to half-court&#8230; but the coach had called a timeout.<\/p>\n<p>And that&#8217;s the mistake. Calling the TO there, I thought, actually hurt Princeton rather than helping them.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Why do I say that? Because Kentucky was taller and quicker at basically every position. So, on the ensuing out-of-bounds play under the basket, they were able to put a big guy in front of the inbounder, and set up their defense to closely guard whoever might get the ball. This meant that Princeton ended up throwing it into a guy in a bad spot, and never got a chance at a good shot.<\/p>\n<p>Had they just gone with the ball without calling a timeout, I think they would&#8217;ve had a better shot to win. Not a <em>great<\/em> chance, by any stretch&#8211; there was too little time left&#8211; but the Kentucky players were disorganized and celebrating, and a quick push up the court could easily have gotten them an open look at a long three-pointer. Which would&#8217;ve been better than what they really got.<\/p>\n<p>This is a tricky point, because as I said above, the conventional wisdom is that the coach should call a TO there. To &#8220;set up a play&#8221; for the last shot, as if this is something that needs a great deal of on-the-spot improvisation. If you&#8217;ve practiced this sort of situation, though, there&#8217;s nothing you&#8217;ll be able to tell your team as a coach that they haven&#8217;t heard before. And whatever benefit you gain by drawing up a final play is often negated by giving the defense a chance to set up themselves. If you go without the TO, you&#8217;re more likely to catch them off-guard, and that can often produce better results than you get coming out of the time-out.<\/p>\n<p>You don&#8217;t get to be a Div. 1 coach without being a little bit of a control freak, though, so the automatic impulse of any coach is going to be to call the time-out. In many cases, though, particularly when you&#8217;re undersized the way Princeton was, it&#8217;s the wrong play.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There was a lot of great basketball yesterday, but I want to talk quickly about one small thing at the end of the Kentucky-Princeton game, that I think is kind of the basketball equivalent of the oft-debated punt on fourth-and-short in the opponents&#8217; end in football. That is, it&#8217;s the wrong play, but also the&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/2011\/03\/18\/know-when-to-do-nothing\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Know When to Do Nothing<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"1","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5467","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-basketball","category-sports","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5467","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5467"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5467\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}