{"id":4165,"date":"2009-10-14T22:52:37","date_gmt":"2009-10-14T22:52:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/principles\/2009\/10\/14\/my-doomsday-weapon\/"},"modified":"2009-10-14T22:52:37","modified_gmt":"2009-10-14T22:52:37","slug":"my-doomsday-weapon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/2009\/10\/14\/my-doomsday-weapon\/","title":{"rendered":"My Doomsday Weapon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the time that I&#8217;ve been at Union, I have suffered a number of lab disasters. I&#8217;ve had lasers killed in freak power outages. I&#8217;ve had lasers die because of odd electrical issues. My lab has flooded not once, not twice, but <em>three<\/em> different times. I&#8217;ve had equipment damaged by idiot contractors, and I&#8217;ve had week-long setbacks because the temperature of the room slews by ten degrees or more when they switch the heat on in the fall and off in the spring. I had a diode laser system trashed because of a crack in the insulation on a water pipe, that exposed the pipe to moist room air, leading to a buildup of condensation which then dripped all over the laser, leaving behind a thin layer of we-swear-it&#8217;s-not-asbestos insulation material.<\/p>\n<p>I used to think that this was a combination of bad luck, operating on a shoestring budget (relatively speaking), and the undistinguished maintenance history of the building where my lab is located. But now, thanks to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/10\/13\/science\/space\/13lhc.html?_r=5\">Dennis Overbye<\/a>, I know that it&#8217;s something bigger. My string of improbable lab disasters is a Message. From The Future. If my experiment ever gets working, it&#8217;s going to destroy the entire universe, so the very fabric of space-time is distorting itself to ensure that my experiment never gets going.<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t believe me? This is what my apparatus looks like:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/principles\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/467\/files\/2012\/04\/i-0de74fb8b67a2563d904658fbceca06b-sm_wmd_chamber.jpg\" alt=\"i-0de74fb8b67a2563d904658fbceca06b-sm_wmd_chamber.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Scary, no?<\/p>\n<p>Clearly, I deserve not one, but two Nobel Prizes: the Physics prize for whatever brilliant thing I&#8217;m going to invent that will destroy the Universe, and the Peace prize for setting up my experiment in such a way that it&#8217;s possible for gremlin rays from The Future to stop it. I await the Nobel Foundation&#8217;s call.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/0910.0359\">arxiv paper<\/a> on which the whole silly business is based has set the physics blogosphere abuzz. Reactions range from <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.uslhc.us\/?p=2587\">resigned sighs<\/a> to <a href=\"http:\/\/dorigo.wordpress.com\/2007\/07\/21\/respectable-physicists-gone-crackpotty\/\">frank<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/builtonfacts\/2009\/10\/higgs_hates_us.php\">open<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/?p=2373\">derision<\/a>, to an <a href=\"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/catdynamics\/2009\/10\/lhc_it_is_not_the_future.php\">aggreived claim of priority<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Sean Carroll, quoted in the offending article, offers a <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/cosmicvariance\/2009\/10\/14\/spooky-signals-from-the-future-telling-us-to-cancel-the-lhc\/\">rather nuanced take on the whole thing<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>At the end of the day: this theory is crazy. There&#8217;s no real reason to believe in an imaginary component to the action with dramatic apparently-nonlocal effects, and even if there were, the specific choice of action contemplated by NN seems rather contrived. But I&#8217;m happy to argue that it&#8217;s the good kind of crazy. The authors start with a speculative but well-defined idea, and carry it through to its logical conclusions. That&#8217;s what scientists are supposed to do. I think that the Bayesian prior probability on their model being right is less than one in a million, so I&#8217;m not going to take its predictions very seriously. But the process by which they work those predictions out has been perfectly scientific.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I think it&#8217;s kind of a stretch, but things like &#8220;wormholes&#8221; which aren&#8217;t all that much more probable have evolved from silly beginnings to oddly respectable topics, so Sean&#8217;s position probably isn&#8217;t completely unreasonable.<\/p>\n<p>In the end, though, I can&#8217;t help feeling a little like <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thedailyshow.com\/watch\/mon-october-12-2009\/cnn-leaves-it-there\">Jon Stewart watching CNN<\/a>. Yes, there&#8217;s a tradition of sort of out-there speculation in theoretical physics, and this paper probably fits in that tradition. And yes, people eat this stuff up&#8211; I give it even odds that somebody asks me about it in an airport or a doctor&#8217;s office in the next couple of weeks.<\/p>\n<p>But really, given the limited and shrinking media space for science, I can&#8217;t help thinking that those column inches could&#8217;ve gone to something better. Even by the standards of far-out physics speculation, this is kind of dopey. Running this in one of the few surviving mass media science sections is a little like devoting a front-page story to <a href=\"http:\/\/krugman.blogs.nytimes.com\/2008\/03\/11\/economics-the-final-frontier\/\">Paul Krugman&#8217;s theory of interstellar economics<\/a>, and not running another story about the economy for a week.<\/p>\n<p>But, hey, I&#8217;m just a guy with an experiment that keeps breaking. At least, as far as <em>you<\/em> know, that&#8217;s all I am. I might be the guy who&#8217;s going to destroy the Universe unless you make it worth my while to do something else&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the time that I&#8217;ve been at Union, I have suffered a number of lab disasters. I&#8217;ve had lasers killed in freak power outages. I&#8217;ve had lasers die because of odd electrical issues. My lab has flooded not once, not twice, but three different times. I&#8217;ve had equipment damaged by idiot contractors, and I&#8217;ve had&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/2009\/10\/14\/my-doomsday-weapon\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">My Doomsday Weapon<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"1","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,25,7,11,24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4165","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-in_the_news","category-lab_stories","category-physics","category-science","category-silliness","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4165","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4165"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4165\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4165"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4165"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/chadorzel.com\/principles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4165"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}